Tackling Overcapacity in Europe’s Pulp and Paper Sector

Europe’s pulp and paper industry continually addresses overcapacity issues, which have led to numerous production line closures and profound impacts on all stakeholders. This piece examines the repercussions of overcapacity and its implications for the sector.

 

Overcapacity in the European Pulp and Paper Industry: An Overview

Recent times have seen the European pulp and paper sector struggling with excessive production capabilities. In 2023, closures of 41 production lines removed 5.4 million tonnes of capacity, predominantly affecting the printing paper segment, with Germany witnessing the most shutdowns. This demonstrates significant overproduction.

For example, Stora Enso discontinued operations on two lines at its Dehop facility and four at its Ostrołęka plant, aiming to recalibrate market equilibrium and curb the output of corrugated packaging materials in response to the ongoing surplus in the European cardboard market.

Overcapacity arises when production capabilities surpass product demand. Europe has addressed this issue by decommissioning lines, yet these actions appear inadequate to counter the demand dip expected to extend into 2024.

Root Causes of Overcapacity in Europe

The Confederation of European Paper Industries (CEPI) provided a detailed examination in its preliminary 2023 report on the emergence of overcapacity.

The report underscored that unfavorable macroeconomic conditions, marked by high inflation, elevated interest rates, and weakened private consumption, have contributed to a reduction in paper and cardboard consumption and production, alongside a persistent destocking trend. In 2023, paper and cardboard output in CEPI nations fell by 12.8%, primarily due to significant energy and manufacturing costs affecting the sector.

A 6.9% reduction in recycled paper usage by companies within CEPI’s coverage area in 2023 is another crucial factor. This decline is likely linked to lower production of packaging papers and cardboard, heavily reliant on recycled content. The shutdown of specific recycling-focused paper mills also fueled this trend.

The Problem with Overcapacity

Overcapacity introduces multiple challenges, including inefficiencies and escalating production costs. Excess capacity leads to underutilized resources, increasing operational costs and undercutting both profitability and market competitiveness.

It can also trigger price wars and downward pressure on prices, as companies might engage in aggressive pricing to retain market share, eroding profit margins. This affects not just individual firms’ financial health but also industry-wide stability.

Additionally, an imbalance in production discourages innovation and investment in new capabilities, as firms struggling to utilize existing capacities are less inclined to fund research and development or upgrade facilities.

Stakeholder Challenges

Overcapacity creates diverse challenges for stakeholders within Europe’s pulp and paper industry:

  • Manufacturers: Must enhance capacity utilization and cut costs to stay competitive. Streamlining operations and improving efficiency are crucial to lessen the impact of overcapacity.
  • Raw Material Suppliers: A reduction in production by manufacturers could decrease the demand for essential raw materials like wood fibers and chemicals, potentially impacting the entire supply chain.
  • Investors and Shareholders: Concerns may arise over the financial performance of companies affected by overcapacity, potentially leading to reduced profitability and stock value declines, eroding investor confidence and causing capital losses.

Strategies to Address Overcapacity

Mitigating the impacts of overcapacity involves several strategic approaches:

  • Diversification: Companies can diversify their product offerings to tap into new markets and boost demand, thus avoiding the risks of overcommitment and minimizing the adverse effects of overcapacity.
  • Operational Efficiency: Enhancing efficiency through process optimization and cost-reduction measures is vital. Companies can streamline production processes, adopt lean manufacturing practices, and leverage technology to optimize capacity and reduce expenses.
  • Exploring New Avenues: As the bioeconomy evolves, companies might explore alternative monetization strategies, such as biofuels. The growing interest in and investment in biofuels offer potential new opportunities for pulp and paper companies.

By leveraging by-products from their manufacturing processes, producers can capitalize on the growing demand for such materials, effectively utilizing existing resources and mitigating potential profit losses due to overcapacity.

Contact Us!